danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Wed May 23 2012 03:47 AM
Re: Area of Interest - Caribbean Invest 94L

I've been watching 94L for a few hours now. It really has no discernible features other than 2 or 3 areas of heavy thunderstorms.
One of the reporting stations, MUCL, on the southern Coast of Cuba reported near tropical storm force winds for about 3 hours earlier this evening. (See below)
The pressures are generally above 1009mb and most of the other reporting stations in the NW Caribbean have winds under 20 mph.

MUCL 230705Z AUTO 11017KT 25/23 Q1009
MUCL 230605Z AUTO 11023KT 25/23 Q1010
MUCL 230505Z AUTO 11023KT 25/23 Q1010
MUCL 230405Z AUTO 11026KT 25/23 Q1009
MUCL 230305Z AUTO 12028KT 25/23 Q1010
MUCL 230205Z AUTO 11030KT 25/23 Q1009
MUCL 230105Z AUTO 12025G37KT 25/22 Q1009
MUCL 230005Z AUTO 12025KT 25/22 Q1009

A few of the models suggest the system will slowly move across the Florida Straits and the Bahamas through Friday. Reach a point just offshore of the Jacksonville/ Savannah area and then retrograde back to the west for the weekend.

The model runs that I have looked at keep the system below Tropical Storm strength. Other than the possibility of more rain along the Florida Peninsula it appears that 94L will be a rainmaker for the Memorial Day Weekend.
Drive Safe.

**Note: The HWRF now takes the system to North Carolina. Possibly as a weak Tropical Storm, based on wind speeds. The system then bounces back and forth along the N.C. and S.C. beaches.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/models/d...;latestinvest=1



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center