Okay, I'll go with 14/8/4. Note I rarely ever do this guesstimate, however today I will. The four might be high if we weaker storms forming close in or long trackers that have problems stacking themselves probably but I think we could get there.

When in a "neutral" phase it's hard to tell if this is where we are staying or if we are going into El Nino. It's a phase.

Water is warm, the season has started early and for numerous reasons I'll say we will have at least 14 named systems.. as always time will tell.

Like to hear some rationalization for the numbers by people posting.