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The low level center of 94L is crossing right over extreme south Florida as this entry (May 24, 2012 - 1PM EDT). The structure of 94L has been gradually improving since last night, and it is now fair to say that a primary center has taken shape, currently in the approximate location of 25.5N 81W, heading north-northeast. With the center passing to the west of Station MLRF1 in Molasses Reef, FL (location 25.012 N 80.376 W), 94L produced a peak 10-minute average wind speed of about 27 knots (31 MPH), with a peak gust of about 31 knots (36 MPH), at an elevation of 47 feet (only about 17 feet above the standard for measuring surface winds). MLRF1 NHC has just increased 94L's odds of becoming an officiated subtropical or tropical cyclone to 40% within the next 48 hours, and this could be conservative. Due to shear, convection remains displaced to the east of the center, with the most vigorous convection presently occurring in its northeastern quadrant. Invest 94L at 1702 UTC |