Tropical Storm Florence has some interesting challenges ahead. The system is rather well organized and some slight intensification is possible over the next couple of days. The Atlantic high pressure ridge is expected to build and dig to the south - roughly along 50W. Florence will encounter increasing west southwesterly shear late Monday into Tuesday and will encounter slightly cooler SSTs (27-27.5C) especially on Tuesday. With increasing windshear aloft and slightly cooler sea surface temperatures any additional intensification should stop by Tuesday (perhaps even Monday) so the likelyhood of reaching hurricane status is slim at best. IF Florence can survive the shear, and because of the building high pressure to the north of the system, a weaker Florence would likely take a more westerly or even west southwesterly track Tuesday afternoon.
ED