Ernesto has indeed reformed and intensified around its previously displaced mid-level center to the northeast of the original low-level center. The tropical cyclone continues to improve in overall structure with significant feeder band development and outflow improving in all quadrants except to the west.

With relocation of the center about 45 miles to the northeast, Ernesto is likely to move westward or west northwestward offshore along the north coast of Honduras toward a landfall in Belize as a hurricane. Hurricane force winds are now likely along the north coast of Nicaragua and the entire coast of Belize - perhaps even to eastern Mexico along the Yucatan peninsula and the northeast coast of Guatemala. The heavy rain/flooding threat mentioned in the previous post still applies except the threat has decreased for Southern Guatemala and for El Salvador. Updated Warnings and Watches are as follows:

"A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO PUNTA ALLEN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
* NORTH OF PUNTA ALLEN TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CANCUN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA"

ED