A convectively active surface trough which includes some of the remnant circulation of (former) Helene has become a little better defined over the extreme western Gulf of Mexico today. This feature has been tagged as Invest 95L.

95L is in a marginally favorable environment for further organization, currently centered roughly around 21.7N 98.1W. Movement is nearly stationary, or drifting on and offshore.

The estimated minimum central pressure within 95L is a relatively low 1005mb, and maximum sustained winds are running about 20 knots, but scatterometer measurements suggests that much higher gusts are occurring.

NHC currently gives this disturbance a 20% chance of becoming a numbered tropical cyclone within 48 hours.