Ed DunhamAdministrator
(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
Mon Aug 20 2012 12:10 PM
Re: Area of Interest: Invest 94L

Invest 94L still looking very disorganized - so much so that to quote a favorite phrase of the NHC, "80% chance for tropical cyclone development in the next day or so may be somewhat generous". The real problem with 94L and its development opportunity has been a combination of dry air to the north and west of the system - and the proximity of two circulation centers with the eastern center about 5 degrees (300 miles) east southeast of the westernmost center. Until one center predominates, consolidation and development is difficult and the entire system remains weak and travels westward at a good clip.
ED