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Here in La. we've had a relatively cool May with fronts coming through and on into the GOM fairly regularly unlike last year when we had 90 degree plus temperatures and drought conditions in May. With the fronts we've had a lot of rain too. With that in mind I see a limited season this year compared to recent seasons; however, I want to temper that with the notion that TWC seems to be more agressive in naming storms than they have been a decade or two ago and consequently we see more marginal storms named than we once did. I'm going with 15 named storms, 7 hurricanes but only 3 major canes. I think this season will be more heavily weighted to the Atlantic Ocean and the GOM will be relatively quiet with only tropical storms, no canes. I think this season is going to be relatively weak like last season, but all it takes is a Sandy to hit in the right spot under the right circumstances to cause a lot of grief. |