At 06/18Z, Invest 92L was located near 13.6N 46.7W or roughly 800 miles to the east of the Lesser Antillies previously moving to the west northwest at 8 knots but expected to slow considerably as the system has hit a wall of strong westerly windshear. Convection has increased significantly today but the shear is not likely to abate for two or three days so additional development will be held in check for awhile. The strong upper shear may actually decouple the system with the weak 1012MB low level circulation moving slowly westward leaving the convection well behind it to the east of the lower center. The current model suite moves the system too rapidly to the west. SSTs in the area of the low center are 27C. If the low-level center can survive, it could regenerate convection in a few days as the shear weakens. Something to watch in this active early season.
ED