well... a bit of an oddity that after the GFS was so definitive about something forming it backed off.... and now the NHC seems more excited than models would appear.

Watching the one by Africa closely. Has a good signature, it has a long, long way to go.

Will be lucky if it survives. But an orange circle so soon shows some level of confidence.

The lead wave before it did much to give this new wave a fighting chance as it may have taken a bite out of the SAL. Either way SAL seems less in charge than it was last week.

Massive high... lower than desired water temperatures. Looking good now, may be a temporary thing.

Watching, looking for good discussion here... without hype.