I agree on the basis that we have to watch this one. It has a very significant area of convection right near the center of its axis and is very broad overall. The only inhibiting factors at this time are the cooler than normal waters and moderate subsidence, which btw, is forecasted to finally become minimal as an anticyclone in the upper-levels moves out into the Atlantic. There is also a wave ahead of this one with a 1010 mb low that will be worth watching as it moves westward into a more favorable environment. Granted the current pattern of a strong high locking up across the Atlantic through September, at least, and with the way Christobal barely got turned out to sea by the infamous "trough", it would not surprise me at all to see a major hurricane make landfall on the East Coast in the next 10-30 days. We could also even get two majors for the season...one in September perhaps. What do you think about the landfall situation Ed?
Kevin