Edouard is still in a holding pattern. Upper level westerlies have once again pushed convection away from the center while the center itself has stalled. If the ridge building behind the trough starts to 'push' the center southward - and all it would take would be about one degree - the system could intensify quickly without the disruption of the narrow westerly jet. Model runs this evening are again all over the place - or no place at all, i.e., the tropical suite generally holds the system in place. I still think that a southwest drift is an eventual scenario. A small adjustment to the south could quickly turn Edouard into a dangerous storm for the northern half of the Florida east coast (and perhaps even the west coast). Some dry air entrainment might occur, but the westerly jet would probably keep most of the drier air to the north of the system, and the system is not likely to pull any dry air into it until it gets stronger anyway. Not too much has changed in the past 12 hours, except the GFDL northerly loop in the next 24 hours is not likely.
Cheers,
ED