figured i'd post here just to say, agree with your ideas ed. think edouard's lease on life is tied to whether it can drop out of the jet its in, get under the narrow e-w ridge across peninsular florida. personally think chance edouard will get sheared/subsidized to death is around 40%. safe to say it will be a memorable storm if it can move southward into the zone.
ed, youve only got two named storms left, and not even at the climo midpoint of the season. okay, three with your margin of error. there seems to be a serious case of the sissies with what we've had so far this year, so maybe your hurricane/major numbers wont be far from verification. funny thing is supposedly gray knocked another storm off his season forecast.. at least youre going down with good company.. or going to victory with them.
HF 0441z03september