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Area of convection and general cyclonic curvature near 24N 72W, or just north of the southern Bahamas, has good potential for further development over the next couple of days. Westerly shear just north of the area is forecast to abate (but not totally) by Sunday evening. Area of development expected to remain pretty much stationary over the weekend. Keep an eye out for slow pressure falls in the southern Bahamas. Postscript: East Atlantic wave near 20W still having some trouble getting organized - even if it does (and it might), it will encounter some increasing westerly shear in a couple of days. Atlantic pattern continues to be disruptive. Cheers, ED |