Ed DunhamAdministrator
(Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017))
Thu Sep 12 2002 02:22 AM
Re: A few thoughts on 98L/TD 9

At 12/00z, recon centered TD9 at 26.2N 86.7W. Core temp was 23C, so I think that this system will be considered tropical. Shear is still a problem, but lopsided systems are more the rule in the Gulf rather than the exception. TD9 is just about stationary and will likely stay that way for another 12-18 hours - it may wander some, but not much, after which a general northeast motion seems likely. Will be interesting to see if this one builds its convection during the afternoon rather than early morning. I think that it will slowly develop into Hanna, but I'd guess that its about 24 hours away, i.e., late Thursday afternoon, before it attains tropical storm strength. Initial recon found a central pressure of 1001mb. The analogy to Harvey seems like a good one.
Cheers,
ED



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center