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Its late and I'm tired (we all are) so this will be short. Lili is far from dead - currently refiring nicely. Lili maintained a vigorous circulation all day so I was surprised when even the TD status was dropped. I'd expect Lili to soon start a more northwesterly motion and eventually enter the GOM. Kyle - the wildcard! He will weaken for a day or two, but don't think that the shear will be as strong as predicted. Would you believe Kyle hanging out near 25N in five days? - I would. Kyle should eventually reintensify. Isidore could provide quite a reinforcement to the ridge to his northwest when she pulls off to the northeast as a powerful extratropical system. Wave exiting the west African coast looks pretty good - and it has a circulation. Cape Verde season is running late. Give this system about a week (maybe less) and we'll have another Invest to watch. I suspect that Marco will arrive before this season wraps up. Cheers, ED |