WONT41 KNHC 071353
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
945 AM EDT SUN JUL 7 2002

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS THIS MORNING INDICATE THE
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO HAS BECOME A
LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. WHILE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE
FOR ANY RAPID STRENGTHENING...SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE
THE SYSTEM LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
THE LOW COULD BEGIN TO AFFECT COASTAL REGION OF LOWER TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST MEXICO AS EARLY AS LATE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY MORNING.
ALL INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...THE TEXAS
COAST...AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COASTAL AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM IN THE EVENT ANY WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE
REQUIRED.

FORECASTER STEWART