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Whether you think it will develop or not, I believe that 95L is a go. I was just looking at the latest GOMEX water vapor loop and it appears that the convection on the western edge of the low is really cranking up and trying to move into the center. If this trend continues we'll probably have depression later tonight. If not then, then tommorrow will almost be certain. That is if it can hold together overnight providing it doesn't develop today. Looks like Arthur is finally on his way after so much teasing. Another area that I believe needs to be watched it the complex of thunderstorms south of the Bahamas. It looks fairly impressive now, but the models don't develop a low until it gets to the western tip of Cuba. It needs to be watched just in case, but the Gulf system it first and foremost. Like HF said, it could get strong if it decides to meander around or only move slowly west in the Gulf. I'm not ruling out a stong category 1, but that is at the low end of possibilities. Kevin |