low hasnt tightened.. still pretty unfocused. based on the model stuff ive looked at this system hasnt got a great deal of time.. though three models developed it into a weak tropical storm feature, they also brought it in near or south of brownsville between tuesday morning and afternoon.
i'm guessing this will be a tropical storm at landfall, around noon tuesday. might be tracking south of due west.
remember how i was saying watch near florida behind this one? ive seen a couple of model runs that want to make a follow on low.. which isnt very developed, off the west coast of florida around mid week. have to see if the models keep picking up on it.
i'm around 80% on 95L developing now.
HanKFranK aiken, SC 2141z07july