Frank P
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Sun Jul 07 2002 10:36 PM
Re: 5:30 PM tropical outlook.

The low in the GOM has more convection tonight than last night for sure, but it's not all that intense... not what I'd expect for a TD... system appears to be definitely moving off to the west... the ridge in the mid levels of the atmosphere north of the system will continue to move the system off to the west regardless of whether it develops or not...

Does appear to have a broad LLC associated with the system.... Pressures in the GOM are still relatively high, but falling, and no real strong winds noted from the latest bouy obs...

NHC runniing test models on the system... SHIPs has it up to 52K in 72 hours...... here is the link for those interested in viewing the models...

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/tropical/atlantic/models/



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