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There is an upper low in Louisiana that could be keeping the gulf system in check. I know that sometimes upper lows can help in the development process but not when they are directly north of the system that is trying to develop. If this system was stalled out in the gulf then I would think that the chances would be rather high for it to crank up, but that is not the case here. It will really have to start firing up quickly to have a chance but my confidence in it is steadilly falling. |