aright 95L has sped up and is now about six to eight hours from going ashore. still no concentrated convection, no intensification. for the life of me i cant understand why this system never got organized, but there it is, just a goofy little elongated low windmilling towards the brownsville area.
cant really make any sense of the system around florida. never saw that swirl you guys were talking about.. must have been some mid level mcc feature. there is still some convection persisting over the eastern gulf now.. still the odd models wanting a low to be there. broad and disorganized like 95L, confidence low. there is some weak upper ridging in the area, but this is a start from scratch situation... it would take a big convective mass a while to get the pressure falls and such going.
anyhow, dont see a system this week now that 95L has gone cold. maybe late july after all.. maybe later.
HanKFranK aiken sc 0556z09july