Steve
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Tue Jul 09 2002 03:50 PM
Re: Heavy Rain

>>Another broad area of low pressure centered over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is producing widespread cloudiness...showers and scattered thunderstorms that extend Eastward across the Florida Peninsula. While surface pressures are high...upper-level winds are marginally favorable and some slow development of this system is possible over the next few days as it drifts slowly west or nothwestward.

That was the legible (NON CAPS) version from this morning's TPC outlook. I had initially assumed that any massing convection would put storms further to the north than where they are, so my prediction for some flooding rains might be a day or two early. Coastal SW LA has been under some training bands all morning, but I haven't checked the rainfall rates down there yet since this is my first day back to work since last Tuesday and I'm swamped.

If there is a 120 hour low off the mouth, I'm wondering if this isn't a trof split with the soon to be descending trof coming out of the NE or if this is the system that we're looking at now or a solution factoring in both.

At least things will be interesting up here over the next few days. Btw, cloudy and low 80's so far today. I'll take that.

Steve



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