|
|
|||||||
well the 0600Z GFDL run on 96L has again changed from the previous runs. The 0000z run did not really develop the system until it was close to emerging of the NC coast in about 4 days. However, the 0600z run keeps the disturbance poorly organised and 'open' for the first 30 hours (1200z Friday) but then deepens it to a Tropical Storm by 36 hrs (18z Friday). The GFDL then takes it inland near Apalachicola as a 50 - 55 kt storm around midday on Saturday. The centre is still shown as moving off the NC coast near Cape Hatteras at the 102 hr period, but is not deepened so much. Rich B GFDL Animation of 96L Forecast StormWarn2000 I.W.N. |