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TWD says that the whole system has several small circulations besides the one we have seen all day on visible imagery. Perhaps the centre may therefore relocate / reform near the convection. Also, as the ULL moves out of the way it may give the disturbance a window to develop. I must admit that i dont expect to see much any time soon. GDFL now develops it rapidly as it moves of the NC coast in a few days again, taking it to nearly 100 kts by 120 hrs. Rich B StormWarn2000 I.W.N. |