The latest system is a goner, a victim of the Gulf's current state, whicih is the no Spin Zone.

It's just not going to happen, the last system had a fairly good chance of forming, but didn't to a variety of factors. Elsewhere, there isn't much going on. It is my guestimate date for first storm of the season (Predictions were made in this thread) of July 12th.

The upper level lows in the area have caused it to be an unhealthy environment for tropical systems. It could change later, so just because it is quiet now does not mean anything for the future of this season.

Anyone want to make updated guesses as to when the first storm of the season will be?

My new guess is August 8th, at 11AM.

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Triopical Weather Center, Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Even more on the links page.

- [mac]