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It aint over till it's over. The Latest OSU Gulf weather depic/sat overlay shows a 3/4 closed circulation (every quandrant except NE), pressures falling at all points to the N and east of the convective cluster (all around 1012-1011, but bear in mind all the buoys are 50-150 miles from the "center"); and , most interestingly, the buoy about 125 miles se of the center (42003 I think) has w-wsw winds 25kts, gusts to 33kts.---at about 3pm. Convection is buiding, appears a surface circ is forming---Earl? style hybrid transitioning to tropical? IHS, Bill |