Rich B
(British Meteorologist)
Fri Jul 12 2002 10:48 PM
Possible Relocation

An excerpt from the latest TWD:

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE LOWEST PRESSURE HAS FALLEN TO 1011 MB NEAR 28.5N85.5W. IT
APPEARS THAT THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO MERGE WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY FURTHER N AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY NWD AND TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT SEEMS UNLIKELY. THE ONE POSSIBLE CAVEAT IS A RECENT BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SW OF THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER. SHOULD THIS AREA PERSIST...A NEW LOW CENTER COULD FORM FURTHER SW.

The area of convection it is talking about continues to fire up, with new convection firing at the time i am making this post. Visible imagery also indicates some outflow aloft, and this area might bear watching!

Rich B

StormWarn2000 I.W.N.



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center