So will TD One become Arthur? Good question! Visible imagery shows the low-level centre exposed on the western edge of the deep convection. However, an exposed or even open centre does not mean that the depression wont become a Storm. Remember Bonnie a few years back? Before she moved onshore near Wilmington, a few hours prior her centre was open to the west! And she still strengthened from a Cat 1 to a Cat 2. Although the time is short for TD One, it might just make it to TS Arthur before going extratropical. And yes, i think Arthur might only be around for 12 or 18 hours!

Any way, i guess we will see as the next batch of Advisories from NHC will be out within the hour.

Rich B

StormWarn2000 I.W.N.