you know how all these trough splits have been backing into texas and stalling.. how the thunderstorm complexes look like they would become instant tropical systems if they were over water? well, ive noticed this current one seems to be slipping back to the NE a little.. and with a somewhat active tropical wave coming in from the SE.. makes me wonder. for all the tropical rain that texas has had driven into it.. one of these things should develop eventually.
reread bastardi.. its the arctic vortex going into its late summer position.. NW of the hudson bay, making the easterly flow in the deep tropics (and the itcz) shift north a bit, start spitting out systems. some of the models are putting that thing up there in a week and a half, or two. wonder if the basin will light up when that happens?
big hmmm.. want to see how this turns out.
HF aikenSC 0131z16july