Tropical Storm Arthur is now gone extratropical away in the North Atlantic. It was the first of the season, and got to be a pretty strong 60MPH tropical storm before getting pulled up and away.

That leaves us with nothing much going on at the moment, but I'm up for bets on where the next one will show up. Things will gradually ramp up until about the middle of August. Bertha is next. Last time we had a Bertha, it caused a bit of stir here in Central Florida before turning away. Could it be off the Atlantic coast? In the Caribbean, or Gulf, or elsewhere?

Here's a satellite Image of 1996's Hurricane Bertha as it neared Central Florida.

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Triopical Weather Center, Accuweather's Joe Bastardi, Hurricane City, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Even more on the links page.

- [mike@flhurricane.com]