In pretty much agreement HF, the pattern is getting into an August mode wherein we could start seeing some development within the next two weeks. However, I still think the Caribbean could produce something, but probably something just to the north of Puerto Rico. So you could say it's the SW Atlantic, even though it's roots may be from the Caribbean. Things are getting primed. I still believe we will see an above normal season (relative to averages) but not exceedingly so. The one's that develop will be more threatening though considering the pattern that's taking shape. Cheers!! Steve H.