Hey Shawn,

I dunno. I'm not much of a 'patern recognition' expert

. But the idea of a cold front sitting in the gulf for a day or two over very warm water could easily get something going. I didn't seen anything to be overly concerned in the models except in the European which puts a 1012 or lower low in the central gulf on Tuesday morning. Perhaps the 12Z runs (which should be run in the next few minutes) might offer more clues, but even the "Tropical Genesis Potential" site doesn't show anything at all.

I'm out of pocket on Mon. and Tuesday. I gotta do some recon around Southern LA, so hopefully nothing gets cooking until sometime Tuesday night so I can watch it.

What do you think?

Steve