Satellite imagery indicates a well-defined circulation has developed with the tropical low located near 10N and 35W. This circulation has been organizing throughout the day. For most of the day, there was no convective activity near the center. However, recent satellite imagery indicates that convective activity has started to form right over the center. This activity is not very intense at this time. The latest QUIKSCAT is inconclusive regarding the intensity of this feature. That being said, the satellite signature indicates that the system is very weak. This is not surprising as this low is still in its organizing phase. There is some potential for further development. The sea surface temperatures and upper air conditions can support tropical cyclone development. There is no shear to speak of in this area and no shear is expected to develop. Therefore, this system is going to be monitored very closely for the potential for further development.

To the east of this tropical low, a massive tropical wave is emerging into the Atlantic Ocean. There is a large area of deep convection associated with this wave. In addition, surface observations from Senegal indicate that pressures are very low, as low as 1008mb in places. While this is not the lowest pressure ever recorded with the passage of a tropical wave in Africa, these are very low pressures. Usually, when an emerging wave has pressures this low, there is some type of development that takes place once it moves into the Atlantic. Atmospheric conditions do not appear hostile for further development. However, sea surface temperatures near the coast of Africa are below normal. Therefore, rapid development once this feature moves off of the coast is not anticipated. In fact, it would not be surprising to see most of the deep convection weaken. This will work against anything developing. Despite this, this wave will be monitored closely for any signs of development.