Even though it's certainly possible soemthing could be triggered in the GOMEX in the next several days (not necessarily the system in it right now, either) but from another tail end of a front or a future area of disturbed weather in the western Carribbean. About what the Euro has progged over you in a whole week, well, don't count on it. That's like trying to forecast how many raindrops are going to fall out of a thunderstorm. It is becoming quite obvious, however, that the W. Carribbean/GOMEX will be early season "must watch" areas.