System east of Bermuda: Although this system has some convection with it, it has many things working against it. They are:
1. It has an upper-level origin.
2. Thunderstorm activity has curtailed off tonight.
3. The thunderstorm activity is not around the low pressure center, mainly to the east of it.
There is a less than 2% chance of develop with this system.

57497479: Climo dictates we are not going to see develop until mid-August. Things will get nasty by then, guaranteed. I've also been saying that this year could be similar to 1999 in some ways and I have some backup on that today. On the tropical outlook, Bastardi showed the SSTA map from today and on this date in 1999, and they look at least half way similar. The QBO, synopitic high pressure pattern and the stratsphere both look similar. Things could look similar to 1999 and this means things will not start to get hairy until at least mid-August. So, it appears that we are going to have to wait a little longer to see the real show begin. But we might wish the quiet we are having now would have lasted when things get nasty in mid to late August. Sleep lightly and get ready to hold on to your ass, the season's about to arrive.