Kevin
(Weather Master)
Wed Jul 31 2002 04:49 PM
El-Nono (yes, it's OFFICIAL), possible GOMEX spin-up, African wave, and what a local met said.

El-Nono: The cold anomaly in nino 3-4 has been utterly consistant, and it now appears that it has foiled this El Nino for good. The waters in nino 1-2 look like they're ready to explode, but with no major westerly wind bursts and with the cold water east of it, El Nino is El Nono, it's official.

Possible GOMEX spin-up: Steve is right, the GOMEX had a large and juicy bucket of moisture spilled on it this morning. I'm not quite sure about the spin-up that may occur there but if it were to occur it would develop near the northern Gulf Coast. If an a circulation does spin up it will be one BERTHA of a rainmaker!

African Wave: It looks quite impressive on IR imagery but when it hits the water it's gonna be tested big time. The area of convection is quite small. The season is about to begin...the show will start for sure in 1-3 weeks.

Glenn Ricahards: He's a met here in Orlando for WFTV Channel-9 and I'd venture to say he's the best TV met around. He said last night on the 11:00 PM news that history shows that with the rainfall patterns central Florida has been having this June/July, more TC's are typically steered our direction (we're talking Cape Verde +western Atlatnic storms). Why does it seem like 2002 will be more and more like 1999? We'll see.

Kevin




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