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In reply to: Golly Mr Anonymous, Last I looked the NHC was made up of a few, often pressured, *people* called meterologists that have an awsome responsibility to the public. One of those responsibilities include NOT crying WOLF so often as to induce people to ignore *real* wolves. It is up to us many weather enthusiasts to show the world our hind ends, make WAGs (Wild Ass Guesses) and call every frog we see a wolf. *That* is *our* job, doing the best they can is the TWC's job. On the whole, the TWC does a good job and provides much fodder for us hobbiests to use in forming our *opinions*, opinions that don't cause panic when published, opinions that don't cause undue evacuations, opinions that are wrong much more often than they are right. Our collective "wisdom" may from time to time, produce a better forcast than the official sources might, but in the long run, our wisdom often leads us to draw incorrect conculusions. The main difference, our conclusions don't usually cause panic, great expense or loss of life. IHMO Richard |