First developement chances of three things: The Low off South Carolina, The disturbance in the gulf, and the wave that has exited the coast of Africa.

The low off SC. It has a chance, but the convection needs to get on the center for it to really get cranking. I'll give it a 25-35% chance.

The Disturbance in the Gulf: There is no llc as I can see, but if one is forming as I type, I like its chances. I'll give it a 30-40% chance, much higher if a llc is detected.

The Wave off Africa: One of the most robust I've seen this year; it has held together rather well. However sinking air will likely be its demise. However, the Eastern Atlantic is slowly getting more and more moisture. I'll give it a 10-13% chance.

My numbers may seem low, but I tend to be a touch on the conservative side sometimes nowadays.

Please be respectful to everyone's opinions. They may see something you don't see, or be interpreting the things they see differently. Remember the uproar I caused a couple of years ago with my wave mongering? Let's not let it happen again