Actually, The area in the Central GOM looks real good this morning. NRL shifted its INVEST to this area. Appears a LLC is forming. As for strength. Once a system becomes established, if conditions at upper levels are good, with light winds aloft, all bets are off. Models will initialize again with the surface low in the equation. since IF this develops in the central GOM, it will have plenty of real estate. Having said this, I haven't explored the models yet and will wait 'til 12Z, and I'm not sure about the shear forecast. Direction seems most likely to be WNW, but again, need to look at the new runs. But if conditions are satisfactory, watch this closely. Cheers!!