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GOMEX: We have a TD here, folks. NHC isn't going to bother issuing advisories though because of it's proximity to land. It looks like the LLC is just on the ne side of the convection...haven't checked buoys at all but I'm sure there are some 25-30 knot winds and lower pressures. It's a rain event, that's all. EC low: This one has gained convection today. This would could move south and spin up a rather significant cyclone near the Florida EC by mid-week. Two things need to happen for this to occur: 1. The upper trough loses it's influence on the low allowing the high to build south. 2. The GOMEX low moves west. One of these things is happening already but the first one is the most important. The question is, when will it occur? Kevin |