Steve,

Joe B. said that the latest run of the european showed a south then SW course. I'll quote a short bit of his following remarks:
"The problem we have here is the trof coming in collapses the height field all AROUND the system, not in back of it. This means the stream flow, instead of being southwest and taking it out, may very well be light north since the ridge to the west is stronger than the ridge to the east."

He then restated his feelings that the pattern he sees would call for watching the SW Atlantic or eastern gulf even if this system did escape to the NE.