It's hard to say exactly what is happening with TD#3, there are actually several things at once!

However, it looks like either the mlc is shearing to the sw away from the LLC, OR, the LLC is reforming to the SW..any way you look at it, no e or se motion at this time, and if a sw motion is materializing, that spells out a possible threat to Fl.

A shallow system (weak) will be more likely to move sw in the ll flow; as the system gets stronger, it is more likely to move with the UL flow, e and NE, unless it gets 'left behind'.

Timing is, as always, everything!

IHS,

Bill