Well, 9-13 tropical cyclones, 6-8 hurricanes, and 2-3 majors. As far as the overall number they forecasted, I believe they are a little low to include the possibility of 9 storms. This is due to uncertainty in El Nino's development. 11-14 looks more reasonable. Hurricane counts are low due to the lower numbers of overall TC's forming, obviously. More named storms usually means more hurricanes. 2-3 majors could be reasonable, then again with a puny El nino in place, maybe not. Look for them to raise the numbers in early August, perhaps. Time will tell!