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As Robert noted last night, the 5 am discussion also talks of discord between the models. They now assume Cristobal will be picked up by a trailing trough and move slowly east in a weak steering flow. The discussion then admits "CONFIDENCE IN THIS FORECAST TRACK IS NOT HIGH." What are everyone's thoughts? The system doesn't look healthy at all now, but what if it survives another day or so? Joe Bastardi still thinks the patterns are favorable for development near Florida at the end of the week. |