I think that Joe B. is a little more "educated" than any of us here. Except for the guy last year (Eric?) that was posting to us from Pensacola. I am not going to sit here and bash Joe B. just because what he says doesn't pan out. We here are no experts either, we can see what's going on but not predict landfall or anything else.

The latest sat pictures that I have seen look pretty active. Yes, there may be shear out there, but that doesn't change the fact that the activity is still there. Just hold onto your pants. We've got until November 30th to monger. Now is no time to panic.