|
|
|||||||
Not Shawn, but I'll comment... The AVN, Eta, and UKMET have solutions over the last run or two for development of tropical lows near the CONUS over the weekend/early next week. The AVN develops a closed surface low in the next 24 hrs about 400 miles south of Mobile and tracks it NW over the weekend with a inland motion near Lake Charles early next week (this was the 12z run....the 18z run is similiar with a slightly more westward solution). The Eta is slower, developing the low Sunday, and moving more east...towards the Florida Panhandle (however, the actual "landfall" is out of the model's valid period). The UKMET develops closed lows in the Bahamas (tracking north towards the Carolinas) and in the Central Gulf, with a somewhat intermediate solution between the AVN and Eta. Pretty interesting stuff...we'll have to see what happens. |