well.. as far as the wave at 30W goes.. i've seen worse looking invests this year. if it still looks angry at 40W i'll get interested. no legitimate development threats at this hour.. couple of swirls in the subtropics have my eye. one is around 35N 50W.. semiconvective weak low. the remnants of an MCC that moved off the mid atlantic last night is around 35/68 drifting east too.. most of the convection is gone. either of these can become something should they persist and keep firing convection.. but nothing of much consequence. watch thewave if you want that.
hey moreland nice MJO forecast... know where i can get stuff explaining how it works? like what causes it, specifically why it makes convection perkier..
anyhow if your forecast for september/october activity verifies i'll be very impressed. good luck getting the storms to behave as foretold.
HF 0231z18august