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I agree Kevin that for this system to develop it has to pass those phases that you mentioned. About the waves in the atlantic wave #1 at the mid atlantic still has a decent circulation pattern to it and some convection is trying to get closer to the low but still not deep convection to say that it will develop anytime soon but as it gets more west then it may have a chance as more warm waters are west of 50w. About wave #2 south of the cape verde islands still to early to say if this one has a low center because quikScat is inconclusive because it is contaminated but as it moves more west the data will be much better but it has some deep convection although it has losed some but for this wave we have to wait for it to go more west but looks good. |