Kevin
(Weather Master)
Tue Aug 20 2002 08:14 PM
I must agree with HF on all bases....the tropical launch button has been pushed.

I am in total agreement with everything HF said. This is a brief post with development chances only. If one of these areas develops, I will provide my detailed analysis.
1. Wave at 40W: Chance of development:3/10, will likely increase.
2. Wave at 26W: Chance of development: 2/10. Chances will increase as this wave get further west.
3. Caribbean convection: Most convection can be contributed to the adjacent upper-low, the convection is being sheared as well. 1/10 development chance.

The MCC (off East Coast) died because it was not ventilated properly and lost most of the convection it had after dusk.

Also notice that there has been no 5:30 PM TWO to be found anywhere. Strange...

Kevin


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